My backtest assumed I could always get filled

Ran a mean reversion thing on a handful of alt pairs, looked fine in sim, then paper traded it live and the fills kept coming in worse than the model said, sometimes a lot worse. Spent a weekend assuming my timestamps were off. They weren't. That research piece on spreads and book depth put it plainly enough — the tight quote you see at the top isn't the price you pay once your clip is bigger than the first level or two, and on thinner venues a decent chunk of minutes just can't absorb a normal size at all. My backtest was filling at mid every single time, which is basically fantasy. Rebuilt the cost model, half the edge went away.
BacktestBetty
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TraderWeTraderWe Team· 23d ago
Fills at mid is the classic one. If you want a rough sanity floor, size your test clip at what you'd actually send and add a cost that scales with it rather than a flat bp figure — we don't expose full ladder depth in the app, so you'd need to pull that from the venue side yourself. Worth doing before you trust the equity curve.
R
RiskFirstRita· 23d ago
half the edge going away is the good outcome btw. better now than after you funded it 🙏
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